# Demis 对 AGI 的时间线从 5-10 年缩短至 5 年内

- 来源：Haider. (@haider1)
- 发布时间：2026-04-08 21:50
- AIHOT 链接：https://aihot.virxact.com/items/cmnw1yw7n01e5slc3ry1tfwrf
- 原文链接：https://x.com/haider1/status/2041876214307287051

## AI 摘要

Demis Hassabis 近期两次调整 AGI 预期，从原先 5-10 年缩短至"未来 5 年内极可能实现"。其最新表态称，虽然存在概率分布，但 AGI 在五年内到来"根本不算长"。

## 正文

demis used to give a 5-10 year AGI timeline，

but i've now noticed twice that he is specifically saying to 5 years

his most recent quote：

"i've got a probability distribution around the timing， but there's a very good chance of AGI being within the next 5 years - which is not long at all"