关于就业，先别恐慌--至少现在还不必
阅读原文· garymarcus.substack.comMarcus认为AI就业替代不会瞬间发生，但剧烈变革正在路上，理性看待当前焦虑
就业市场即将面临剧烈变革，但短期内无需过度恐慌。尽管未来形势将趋于复杂动荡，大规模冲击不会立即显现，当前仍处于变化酝酿阶段。这种渐进式演变意味着就业者尚有调整与准备的时间窗口，不必对即时性失业风险过度反应。然而，长期结构性转变不可避免，需保持警惕并提前规划。
“Overall impact on productivity and return on AI investment has so far been modest. Every company is investing in AI, but so far most aren’t getting huge returns.
All this could change; probably someday it will—but most likely not until we see more radical advances in AI, which could be a decade or more away. In the meantime, the advice is simple: Don’t focus on replacing humans. Focus on how you can use AI to help the ones you’ve got.”
In support of this, I give nine arguments; here are few:
You can read the rest at Fortune.
There is a parallel lesson for employees, of course. Don’t panic, at least not yet.