Ethan Mollick@emollick · XAI 摘要
只有深入使用AI处理熟悉任务时，才能真切体会到技术前沿的“锯齿状”特点：存在大量需要人工介入的节点，既有琐碎操作也有深度判断。人们常陷入一种“盖尔曼健忘症”变体——对自己工作中AI所需的上下文理解、数据接入、结果复核及流程整合等复杂“最后一英里”步骤有深刻认知，却轻易认为AI能自动化他人的全部职能。这种对跨领域工作复杂性的低估，导致许多关于AI导致失业的预测过于简单，它们只看到AI自动化单项任务的能力，忽视了完整执行一个职位所需的全部支撑工作。因此，对AI取代人类工作的许多预测应持审慎态度。
The only way to fully appreciate the jaggedness of the AI frontier is up close.
When you use it for a task you know well you find tons of tiny points where AI requires human help. Some are tedious （move a thing） &； some profound （is this idea good）？ But there are many， for now.
Noticing an interesting version of gell-man amnesia where people use AI for their job and see all the various things they have to do in the "last mile", but the...