AI无法端到端自动化整个工作岗位,因其缺乏自主性且需人工监督。目前尚无任何职业能被AI完全替代,包括翻译和客服。核心观点是AI自动化的是具体任务而非工作本身;当某项任务因AI变得更廉价高效时,反而会提升该岗位的整体需求。例如放射科医生并未被AI取代,其年薪超过50万美元且就业持续增长,因为阅片任务自动化后扩大了放射科服务的市场需求。
AI automates tasks, not jobs, and when a task gets cheaper, demand for the job grows.
AI cannot automate jobs end-to-end because it lacks autonomy and cannot operate without supervision. There is still zero job from 2022 that can be performed end-to-end by AI, not even translator or customer support associate.