François Chollet@fchollet · XAI 摘要
AI无法端到端自动化整个工作岗位，因其缺乏自主性且需人工监督。目前尚无任何职业能被AI完全替代，包括翻译和客服。核心观点是AI自动化的是具体任务而非工作本身；当某项任务因AI变得更廉价高效时，反而会提升该岗位的整体需求。例如放射科医生并未被AI取代，其年薪超过50万美元且就业持续增长，因为阅片任务自动化后扩大了放射科服务的市场需求。
AI automates tasks， not jobs， and when a task gets cheaper， demand for the job grows.
AI cannot automate jobs end-to-end because it lacks autonomy and cannot operate without supervision. There is still zero job from 2022 that can be performed end-to-end by AI， not even translator or customer support associate.
"A decade ago, AI was supposed to replace radiologists. Today, radiologists make more than $500,000 per year, and their employment continues to grow, see chart ...