# Anthropic专家预测AI递归自改进概率达60%

- 来源：Chubby♨️ (@kimmonismus)
- 发布时间：2026-05-04 23:28
- AIHOT 分数：60
- AIHOT 链接：https://aihot.virxact.com/items/cmordj6b4007ksl46o4rvvz78
- 原文链接：https://x.com/kimmonismus/status/2051323131164250474

## AI 摘要

Anthropic的Jack Clarke现在认为，递归自我改进有60%的概率在2028年底前发生。

## 正文

Anthropics Jack Clarke now believes that recurse self-improvement has a 60% change of happening by end of 2028.

### 引用推文

> Jack Clark：I've spent the past few weeks reading 100s of public data sources about AI development. I now believe that recursive self-improvement has a 60% chance of happen...