# AI能力增长已过临界点

- 来源：Ethan Mollick (@emollick)
- 发布时间：2026-05-14 12:29
- AIHOT 分数：58
- AIHOT 链接：https://aihot.virxact.com/items/cmp50xwqc0aelsljx8v2krn1w
- 原文链接：https://x.com/emollick/status/2054781154553729088

## AI 摘要

大家都看过@waitbutwhy的漫画——在指数级增长真正开始前有个“你在此处”的标记，
而METR与英国AISA的独立评估似乎都表明，
我们现在已越过那个临界点了（直到增长放缓为止？）

## 正文

Everyone has seen the @waitbutwhy cartoon of AI capability growth with a "you are here" indicator just before the exponential really starts， but the independent assessments of both METR and the UK's AISA do seem to show that we are past that point now （until we hit a slowdown？）