# Anthropic CEO谈AI双重影响：高增长与高失业并存

- 来源：Rohan Paul (@rohanpaul_ai)
- 发布时间：2026-05-17 10:50
- AIHOT 分数：72
- AIHOT 链接：https://aihot.virxact.com/items/cmp976l4m0ojislnzay8b9gea
- 原文链接：https://x.com/rohanpaul_ai/status/2055843419000594452

## AI 摘要

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei 指出，AI将引领一个前所未有的颠覆性时代：经济可能实现5%-10%的高GDP增长，但同时伴随高失业率与不平等加剧。他举例称，软件成本将大幅下降甚至近乎免费，传统软件商业模式的前提或将瓦解。尽管目前工程师可转向编辑或升级工作，但AI模型将持续承担更多任务，导致许多延续数十年的职业逐渐消失。他强调，社会尚未充分意识到这场变革的巨大规模与冲击，对此他既感到兴奋又深表担忧。

## 正文

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei：

"AI will take us to a world where we have very high GDP growth and potentially also very high unemployment and inequality.

We've never had a technology that's this disruptive. So the idea that we could have 5% or 10% GDP growth， but also， 10% unemployment， it's not logically inconsistent at all. It's just never happened that way before. And I'm really quite， for those both reasons， excited and worried.

I have some engineering leads within Anthropic who have basically said to me， I don't write any code anymore. I just let Opus do the work and I edit it.

There are still things for the software engineers to do， right？ It's like， even if the software engineers are only doing 10% of it， they still have a job to do or they can take a level up.

That's not going to last forever. The models are going to do more and more. "

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From "The Wall Street Journal" YT channel （link in comment）

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