Rohan Paul@rohanpaul_ai · X微软AI业务负责人Mustafa Suleyman警告，AI可能在12到18个月内实现对大多数基于计算机的专业任务的自动化。他指出，这类工作的核心是将人类意图转化为数字指令（如处理文档、邮件、代码、项目管理等），而这正是AI代理日益能够阅读、规划、执行并修正的流程。其风险并非源于技能门槛低，而在于许多高成本的办公任务本质上是重复性的阅读、书写、比较、归档、总结、搜索和基于已知规则的决策模式。
Microsoft's AI chief is warning that AI may automate most computer-based professional tasks within 12 to 18 months.
Mustafa Suleyman's claim targets work done through screens， documents， email， spreadsheets， code， dashboards， tickets， contracts， campaigns， and project trackers， because these jobs turn human intent into digital instructions that an AI agent can increasingly read， plan， execute， and revise.
The risky jobs are not risky because they are low-skill， but because many expensive office tasks are repeatable patterns of reading， writing， comparing， filing， summarizing， searching， and deciding under known rules.
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fortune .com/article/why-microsoft-ai-chief-mustafa-suleyman-predicts-ai-automation-18-months/