# Anthropic联合创始人持续警告AI对就业的冲击

- 来源：Chubby♨️ (@kimmonismus)
- 发布时间：2026-05-25 18:53
- AIHOT 分数：64
- AIHOT 链接：https://aihot.virxact.com/items/cmpl3f05n0cigsl018gobk1i3
- 原文链接：https://x.com/kimmonismus/status/2058864107432943796

## AI 摘要

Anthropic联合创始人Dario Amodei持续警告AI对就业的冲击。他曾在2025年预测，AI可能在五年内消除50%的入门级白领工作，将失业率推高至10-20%。他后来称AI是“通用劳动替代品”，将造成“异常痛苦”的颠覆，并在达沃斯警告可能出现与社会脱节、GDP增长50%的“零世界国家”。当前数据显示趋势印证其警告：2025年科技业入门级招聘下降30-50%，华尔街银行裁减约20万个初级岗位。Anthropic自己的研究也确认，77%的企业使用Claude是为了自动化任务，而非增强员工。另一位Anthropic联合创始人也呼应，称AI大规模替代人类劳动的可能性真实存在。

## 正文

Anthropic co-founder Dario Amodei has been saying this for over a year now. And he keeps saying it. Louder each time.

In May 2025， he told Axios that AI could eliminate 50% of all entry-level white-collar jobs within five years and push unemployment to 10-20%. In January 2026， he published a 20，000-word essay calling AI "a general labor substitute for humans" that will cause "unusually painful" disruption.

At Davos， he warned of a "zeroth world country" forming in Silicon Valley， decoupled from the rest of society， running at 50% GDP growth while everyone else faces mass joblessness. In his own words： "We， as the producers of this technology， have a duty and an obligation to be honest about what is coming."

And the data is starting to back him up. Tech entry-level hiring dropped 30-50% in 2025. Wall Street banks are cutting ~200，000 roles concentrated at the junior level. S&P 500 companies shed employees in net terms for the first time since 2016. Anthropic's own labor market research confirmed that 77% of businesses use Claude to automate tasks， not to augment workers.

Now another Anthropic co-founder is echoing the same message：

"There is a real possibility that AI will displace human labor at a very large scale. Supporting those people will be a moral imperative of historic proportions."

This is no longer a warning from the sidelines. This is the company building the technology telling you， repeatedly， that the disruption is real， it's fast， and society is not ready for it. https://x.com/disclosetv/status/2058859889619763654/video/1