一项对6000名高管的调查显示,尽管投入巨大,超过80%的公司尚未从AI中获得生产力提升。仅1/3的领导者使用AI,且平均每周使用时间仅约90分钟。不过,多数受访者预期AI未来三年内将提升生产力。与此同时,Goldman Sachs预测AI智能体的Token使用量到2030年将增长24倍,因其任务循环消耗的Token可能远高于普通对话。智能体生产力与Token消耗之间的平衡,正成为企业新的成本考验,微软近期收紧了对Claude Code的访问即是一例。
This survey suggests over 80% of companies have seen no productivity gains from AI so far, despite billions in spending.
Among 6,000 executives, 1/3 of leaders said they use AI, but only for 90 minutes a week.
This is even though most respondents believe AI will increase productivity by 1.4%, cut staff by 0.7%, and boost output by 0.8% in the next 3 years.
Of the executives, a third said they use AI at work, but only around 1.5 hours per week on average. Meanwhile, 25% of those surveyed have not used AI yet.
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nber .org/papers/w34836