# 高通CEO预测：智能体时代全球AI token需求将爆炸式增长

- 来源：Rohan Paul (@rohanpaul_ai)
- 发布时间：2026-06-02 02:16
- AIHOT 分数：68
- AIHOT 链接：https://aihot.virxact.com/items/cmpvk0te60009slfp0z0qptcp
- 原文链接：https://x.com/rohanpaul_ai/status/2061512144966050078

## AI 摘要

高通CEO Cristiano Amon预测，全球token需求到2026年每10秒将达317亿，到2030年将增至1.27万亿，实现40倍增长。他指出，这一增长主要源于AI正从人类节奏的交互转向智能体驱动的活动。智能体AI将消耗远超聊天机器人的token，因其执行自主任务时需调用工具、读取输出、协调系统并更新记忆，形成隐藏的微决策链。因此，软件使用模式可能从按点击或席位计量，转变为按其消耗的机器推理token量计量。

## 正文

"Every 10 seconds， global token demand is around 31.7 billion in 2026. By 2030 its 1.27 trillion， a 40x increase."

~ Qualcomm CEO Cristiano Amon：
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The token explosion is not mainly about smarter answers； it is about AI moving from human-paced interaction to Agent-paced activity.

Once agents become persistent， the economy of AI stops will be the background infrastructure.

Every useful action has a hidden bill： context must be carried， memory must be updated， sensors may need to be interpreted， and mistakes must be caught before they become expensive.

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From "Reuters" YouTube channel， （link in comment）

### 引用推文

> Rohan Paul：New video of Qualcomm CEO Cristiano Amon: AI will require "gazillions" of tokens. Because, Agentic AI will consume dramatically more tokens because it performs ...