SemiAnalysis 指出,Nvidia 今年下半年将迎来大幅增长,其加速器模型估计 Nvidia 数据中心计算收入在 FY2027 下半年比共识预期高 20%。Rubin 芯片因早期 HBM4 问题已解决且前端晶圆供应充足,将实现大幅爬坡。这些估计基于供应链(包括材料、制造、组件、服务器集成商到超大规模和前沿实验室)的全面研究。
We are seeing a huge second half ramp for Nvidia this year. Our Accelerator Model estimate has Nvidia DC compute revenue 20% higher compared to consensus expectations for 2H FY2027. Rubin will have a big ramp after being pushed out due to earlier HBM4 issues that are now resolved and front end wafer supply is now built up. Unlike other sell-side analysts who like to model an easy benchmark for companies to beat numbers, SemiAnalysis estimates are informed by all the research from the supply chain (including but not limited to materials, fabrication, components, server integrators) all the way to what's happening at hyperscalers and frontier labs. All this intelligence for Nvidia and other AI players like Broadcom, AMD, MediaTek, and Marvell is contained in our Accelerator and HBM Model.