到2027年,Alphabet、Amazon、Meta、Microsoft和Oracle五家公司AI资本支出预计达美国GDP的3.2%(约1.1万亿美元),首次超过国防支出(约2.7%)。增速从2025年的1.5%升至2026年的2.5%,2027年达3.2%。2026年五家公司AI CapEx预计超8000亿美元。这一规模足以显著影响美国GDP增长、电力需求、芯片供应、建筑活动、企业债务市场和劳动力市场。
By 2027, just 5 companies, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, and Oracle, are expected to spend around 3.2% of US GDP on AI capital expenditure.
That would put private AI infrastructure spending above US national defense spending, which is expected to be around 2.7% of GDP.
The AI race is now being funded at a scale normally associated with governments, wars, energy systems, railroads, highways, and telecom buildouts.
The striking part is the speed. AI capex is expected to jump from about 1.5% of GDP in 2025 to about 2.5% in 2026, then to 3.2% in 2027.