# 中美AI成本差50-100倍，封闭必败

- 来源：Rohan Paul (@rohanpaul_ai)
- 发布时间：2026-07-21 01:56
- AIHOT 分数：45
- AIHOT 链接：https://aihot.virxact.com/items/cmrtjubai3y91bitl10ldtqgm
- 原文链接：https://x.com/rohanpaul_ai/status/2079264175998841324

## AI 摘要

领先AI已分化为两条路线：美国闭源模型每百万token成本26-56美元，中国开源模型仅0.50-1美元。若强制美国公司以50-100倍成本竞争，将导致其财务受损、股市崩盘，且国内外客户会转向更便宜的方案，最终形成自我挫败的干预。

## 正文

At some point every technology is a cost curve. Fight the curve and you will lose.

The protection doesn't even save the labs it's supposed to.

### 引用推文

> Chamath Palihapitiya：The leading AI has already forked into two options. A: Closed source American that costs $26-56 per 1MM tokens. B: Open weight Chinese that costs $0.50-1 per 1M...