Today's edition of my newsletter just went out.
🔗 https://www.rohan-paul.com/p/on-long-horizon-cyber-capability
🗞️ On long-horizon cyber capability， leading open-weight models now trail the closed frontier by only 4 to 7 months， down from 6 to 10 months through much of 2025.
🗞️ "AI advice suppresses people's willingness to say "I don't know"， even when the advice is wrong and accuracy is incentivized"
🗞️ Kimi K3 nearly doubled its nearest rival Claude Fable 5， on a demanding benchmark for autonomous legal work.
🗞️ Kimi K3 just fixed 15 critical security bugs that Codex and Fable refused because of "cyber guardrails."
🗞️ "AI Agents Do Not Fail Alone：The Context Fails First"
🗞️ "American companies such as Modal， Fireworks， and Baseten will be able to serve Kimi K3， at one-tenth the cost of their Chinese competitors because they have access to advanced Nvidia and AMD chips.
🗞️ Kimi K3 is facing a compute crunch. Demand is too heavy， so new subscriptions are currently blocked.
🗞️ Why One OpenAI Senior Employee Thinks Open-Weight Models Are Decelerationist