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Rohan Paul@rohanpaul_ai
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2026-08-09 21:04· 29分钟前
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Sam Altman 在 YC Startup School 2026 表示，AI token 使用量正呈指数级增长。六年前全球 token 用量领先者每月约 10 万 token，如今全球人均已达该水平，OpenAI 内部最高者每月达数千亿。他预测再过六年半，人均月用量或达 5000 亿，领先者将达千万亿级。

Sam Altman on how AI token usage is growing at an exponential rate.

"6 and a half years ago, the world token leader was an OpenAI employee using about 100,000 tokens a month. And this seemed ludicrous at the time. The worldwide average per capita was, like, zero.

Now, the worldwide average of tokens per month, is like 100,000, and the token leader at OpenAI uses something in the hundreds of billions.

If that happens again, which I think it probably will, then in another six and a half years, the average person uses, let's say, 500 billion tokens a month, and the token leader uses a quadrillion or quadrillions of tokens a month.

And I think that will just become the expectation."

----

He was at YC Startup School 2026, in conversation @garrytan

From "Y Combinator" YouTube channel, (full video link in comment)

OpenAI大佬观点现象/趋势

来源：Rohan Paul · x.com

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Rohan Paul · @rohanpaul_ai · X·2026-08-09 21:04·29分钟前
AI 导读

Sam Altman 在 YC Startup School 2026 表示，AI token 使用量正呈指数级增长。六年前全球 token 用量领先者每月约 10 万 token，如今全球人均已达该水平，OpenAI 内部最高者每月达数千亿。他预测再过六年半，人均月用量或达 5000 亿，领先者将达千万亿级。

Sam Altman on how AI token usage is growing at an exponential rate.

"6 and a half years ago, the world token leader was an OpenAI employee using about 100,000 tokens a month. And this seemed ludicrous at the time. The worldwide average per capita was, like, zero.

Now, the worldwide average of tokens per month, is like 100,000, and the token leader at OpenAI uses something in the hundreds of billions.

If that happens again, which I think it probably will, then in another six and a half years, the average person uses, let's say, 500 billion tokens a month, and the token leader uses a quadrillion or quadrillions of tokens a month.

And I think that will just become the expectation."

----

He was at YC Startup School 2026, in conversation @garrytan

From "Y Combinator" YouTube channel, (full video link in comment)

来源：Rohan Paul· x.com

OpenAI大佬观点现象/趋势