Ethan Mollick@emollick
47AI 编辑部评分,满分 100
2026-08-13 12:26· 38分钟前
AI 导读

Ethan Mollick 认为更智能模型的回报被低估,经济价值来自智能体而非聊天机器人。任务精度驱动智能体可处理任务时长,小增益呈指数级复合。他反驳 DKThomp 关于高端模型仅服务少数客户的预测。

I think this will turn out to be wrong, and not just because I suspect there are greater returns to more intelligent models than people expect

Economic value comes from agents, not chatbots. And accuracy drives how long a task an agent can do: small gains compound exponentially!

Derek ThompsonTo register a little prediction, I think better and better models will be cost-efficient to fewer and fewer customers. Most people use AI to do stuff for which ...

来源:Ethan Mollick · x.com

Ethan Mollick · @emollick · X·2026-08-13 12:26·38分钟前
AI 导读

Ethan Mollick 认为更智能模型的回报被低估,经济价值来自智能体而非聊天机器人。任务精度驱动智能体可处理任务时长,小增益呈指数级复合。他反驳 DKThomp 关于高端模型仅服务少数客户的预测。

I think this will turn out to be wrong, and not just because I suspect there are greater returns to more intelligent models than people expect

Economic value comes from agents, not chatbots. And accuracy drives how long a task an agent can do: small gains compound exponentially!

Derek ThompsonTo register a little prediction, I think better and better models will be cost-efficient to fewer and fewer customers. Most people use AI to do stuff for which ...

来源:Ethan Mollick· x.com