# 智能模型回报被低估，智能体价值关键在精度

- 来源：Ethan Mollick (@emollick)
- 发布时间：2026-08-13 12:26
- AIHOT 分数：47
- AIHOT 链接：https://aihot.virxact.com/items/cmsr1iq5o0dq4roz2bxnyaghu
- 原文链接：https://x.com/emollick/status/2087757725572939957

## AI 摘要

Ethan Mollick 认为更智能模型的回报被低估，经济价值来自智能体而非聊天机器人。任务精度驱动智能体可处理任务时长，小增益呈指数级复合。他反驳 DKThomp 关于高端模型仅服务少数客户的预测。

## 正文

I think this will turn out to be wrong, and not just because I suspect there are greater returns to more intelligent models than people expect

Economic value comes from agents, not chatbots. And accuracy drives how long a task an agent can do: small gains compound exponentially!

### 引用推文

> Derek Thompson：To register a little prediction, I think better and better models will be cost-efficient to fewer and fewer customers. Most people use AI to do stuff for which ...
