This is, in fact, the Big Question of the impact of AI on the economy. There is a general assumption that the usual frictions of technology adoption continue (as they have up until now with AI), but if systems keep improving, they may just... not. Which way it goes is unclear.
AI 导读
Ethan Mollick 指出,AI 对经济影响的核心问题在于技术采用的惯常摩擦是否仍会延续。若 AI 系统持续改进,这些摩擦可能不会像以往技术那样阻碍普及。引用推文中的 @arpitrage 虽常讲授 AI 普及的摩擦,但内心认为摩擦并不严重——只需让机器做事即可,关键在于摩擦能否持续存在。
This is, in fact, the Big Question of the impact of AI on the economy. There is a general assumption that the usual frictions of technology adoption continue (as they have up until now with AI), but if systems keep improving, they may just... not. Which way it goes is unclear.
I talk and teach about the frictions inherent in AI which will slow down economy wide adoption. But in my heart I don't believe they are that bad. You just ask ...
来源:Ethan Mollick· x.com