神经外科医生基于Waymo9600万英里行驶数据的深度分析显示,其自动驾驶汽车严重事故率比人类驾驶低91%,交叉口伤害事故减少95%。数据显示47%的碰撞速度差小于1 mph,系统将不可避免的事故转化为轻微接触。若全美车辆达到该安全水平,每年可防止3.3–3.9万人死亡、节省0.9–1.25万亿美元社会成本,即使27%普及率也能挽救约1万人生命,实现从伤害减轻到伤害预防的根本转变。
Very nice analysis by neurosurgeon @slotkinjr of how @Waymo's autonomous vehicles have much better safety properties than human drivers, and what would happen if everyone in the U.S. drove as safely as a Waymo.
"The national math: If every US vehicle performed like Waymo, we'd prevent 33,000-39,000 deaths annually and save $0.9-1.25 trillion in societal costs. Even partial adoption at 27% would save ~10,000 lives per year. In terms of magnitude, this would be the equivalent of eliminating every pedestrian death nationally in a year."