Demis Hassabis 近期两次调整 AGI 预期,从原先 5-10 年缩短至"未来 5 年内极可能实现"。其最新表态称,虽然存在概率分布,但 AGI 在五年内到来"根本不算长"。
demis used to give a 5-10 year AGI timeline,
but i've now noticed twice that he is specifically saying to 5 years
his most recent quote:
"i've got a probability distribution around the timing, but there's a very good chance of AGI being within the next 5 years - which is not long at all"