Elon Musk预测,若AI与机器人技术持续当前趋势,将能提供人类所需的一切商品与服务,物质产出将比现今高数个数量级,届时工作将变为可选项。他特别强调需区分"预测"与"愿望",指出其关于未来丰裕社会的判断是基于技术趋势分析,而非个人主观期望,避免公众误解其立场。
"Assuming the current trend of AI and robotics continues, which seems likely, the AI and robots will be able to do anything that that humans want them to do, essentially, so hopefully not more than that, but AI and robotics will be able to provide us all the goods and services that anyone could possibly want so you wouldn't need to work. People will be able to wherever they want with their free time. Work will be optional.
I just want to separate out from like what I wish would happen versus what I predict will happen. Because people get confused about that. They think that what I predict will happen is what I wanted to happen. What I predict to happen is not the same as what I want to happen."
一 Elon Musk