Deedy@deedydas

2026-05-16 11:34·48天前

AI 摘要

旧金山科技圈氛围狂热，财富分化达历史最严重。过去五年，约一万人在Anthropic、OpenAI等AI公司获得超2000万美元退休财富，而外部人群即使高薪也永远无法企及。裁员潮全面展开，AI一夜之间改变多数工作岗位，软件工程师技能过时。这引发四重影响：企业阶梯失效，人们争相创业或加入AI公司；对工作未来深感萎靡，年轻一代担忧成为“永久下层阶级”；中层管理者因缺乏AI技能和网络而瘫痪；新富阶层也陷入目的缺失，财富急剧增长打乱生活计划。科技泡沫扭曲社会，人们在转型黄金 rush 中心理受折磨，不断质疑自己的位置和成功可能性。

The vibes in SF feel pretty frenetic right now. The divide in outcomes is the worst I've ever seen.

Over the last 5yrs， a group of ~10k people - employees at Anthropic， OpenAI， xAI， Nvidia， Meta TBD， founders - have hit retirement wealth of well above $20M （back of the envelope AI estimation）.

Everyone outside that group feels like they can work their well-paying （but <$500k） job for their whole life and never get there.

Worse yet， layoffs are in full swing. Many software engineers feel like their life's skill is no longer useful. The day to day role of most jobs has changed overnight with AI.

As a result， 1. The corporate ladder looks like the wrong building to climb. Everyone's trying to align with a new set of career "paths"： should I be a founder？ Is it too late to join Anthropic / OpenAI？ should I get into AI？ what company stock will 10x next？ People are demanding higher salaries and switching jobs more and more.

2. There's a deep malaise about work （and its future）. Why even work at all for "peanuts"？ Will my job even exist in a few years？ Many feel helpless. You hear the "permanent underclass" conversation a lot， esp from young people. It's hard to focus on doing good work when you think "man， if I joined Anthropic 2yrs ago， I could retire"

3. The mid to late middle managers feel paralyzed. Many have families and don't feel like they have the energy or network to just "start a company". They don't particularly have any AI skills. They see the writing on the wall： middle management is being hollowed out in many companies.

4. The rich aren't particularly happy either. No one is shedding tears for them （and rightfully so）. But those who have "made it" experience a profound lack of purpose too. Some have gone from <$150k to >$50M in a few years with no ramp. It flips your life plans upside down. For some， comparison is the thief of joy. For some， they escape to NYC to "live life". For others still， they start companies "just cuz"， often to win status points. They never imagined that by age 30， they'd be set. I once asked a post-economic founder friend why they didn't just sell the co and they said "and do what？ right now， everyone wants to talk to me. if i sell， I will only have money."

Deedy@deedydas · X

61导出 Markdown

2026-05-16 11:34·48天前

在 X 看原推· x.com

AI 摘要

The vibes in SF feel pretty frenetic right now. The divide in outcomes is the worst I've ever seen.

Everyone outside that group feels like they can work their well-paying （but <$500k） job for their whole life and never get there.

Worse yet， layoffs are in full swing. Many software engineers feel like their life's skill is no longer useful. The day to day role of most jobs has changed overnight with AI.