Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei 指出,AI将引领一个前所未有的颠覆性时代:经济可能实现5%-10%的高GDP增长,但同时伴随高失业率与不平等加剧。他举例称,软件成本将大幅下降甚至近乎免费,传统软件商业模式的前提或将瓦解。尽管目前工程师可转向编辑或升级工作,但AI模型将持续承担更多任务,导致许多延续数十年的职业逐渐消失。他强调,社会尚未充分意识到这场变革的巨大规模与冲击,对此他既感到兴奋又深表担忧。
Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei:
"AI will take us to a world where we have very high GDP growth and potentially also very high unemployment and inequality.
We've never had a technology that's this disruptive. So the idea that we could have 5% or 10% GDP growth, but also, 10% unemployment, it's not logically inconsistent at all. It's just never happened that way before. And I'm really quite, for those both reasons, excited and worried.
I have some engineering leads within Anthropic who have basically said to me, I don't write any code anymore. I just let Opus do the work and I edit it.
There are still things for the software engineers to do, right? It's like, even if the software engineers are only doing 10% of it, they still have a job to do or they can take a level up.