Anthropic联合创始人Dario Amodei持续警告AI对就业的冲击。他曾在2025年预测,AI可能在五年内消除50%的入门级白领工作,将失业率推高至10-20%。他后来称AI是“通用劳动替代品”,将造成“异常痛苦”的颠覆,并在达沃斯警告可能出现与社会脱节、GDP增长50%的“零世界国家”。当前数据显示趋势印证其警告:2025年科技业入门级招聘下降30-50%,华尔街银行裁减约20万个初级岗位。Anthropic自己的研究也确认,77%的企业使用Claude是为了自动化任务,而非增强员工。另一位Anthropic联合创始人也呼应,称AI大规模替代人类劳动的可能性真实存在。
Anthropic co-founder Dario Amodei has been saying this for over a year now. And he keeps saying it. Louder each time.
In May 2025, he told Axios that AI could eliminate 50% of all entry-level white-collar jobs within five years and push unemployment to 10-20%. In January 2026, he published a 20,000-word essay calling AI "a general labor substitute for humans" that will cause "unusually painful" disruption.
At Davos, he warned of a "zeroth world country" forming in Silicon Valley, decoupled from the rest of society, running at 50% GDP growth while everyone else faces mass joblessness. In his own words: "We, as the producers of this technology, have a duty and an obligation to be honest about what is coming."