Rohan Paul@rohanpaul_ai · X高通CEO Cristiano Amon预测，全球token需求到2026年每10秒将达317亿，到2030年将增至1.27万亿，实现40倍增长。他指出，这一增长主要源于AI正从人类节奏的交互转向智能体驱动的活动。智能体AI将消耗远超聊天机器人的token，因其执行自主任务时需调用工具、读取输出、协调系统并更新记忆，形成隐藏的微决策链。因此，软件使用模式可能从按点击或席位计量，转变为按其消耗的机器推理token量计量。
"Every 10 seconds， global token demand is around 31.7 billion in 2026. By 2030 its 1.27 trillion， a 40x increase."
~ Qualcomm CEO Cristiano Amon： ---
The token explosion is not mainly about smarter answers； it is about AI moving from human-paced interaction to Agent-paced activity.
Once agents become persistent， the economy of AI stops will be the background infrastructure.
Every useful action has a hidden bill： context must be carried， memory must be updated， sensors may need to be interpreted， and mistakes must be caught before they become expensive.
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From "Reuters" YouTube channel， （link in comment）