Chubby♨️@kimmonismus · X基于Artificial Analysis的AA-Briefcase评分（模拟多周复杂咨询任务），@emollick 绘制前沿曲线发现：闭源AI模型发展呈指数级增长且加速，开源模型（尤其中国）仍落后约半年。但乐观预测，年底前可能出现“神话级”开源变体。
.@emollick has used data from Artificial Analysis to show how the development of intelligence compares with open source.
Two interesting points：
-The development is still unquestionably exponential. There is no doubt about that. AI is not just getting better， it is getting better faster and faster. This is a truth that all of us probably already notice when using AI.
-The gap to open source remains fairly constant. Chinese models in particular are still about half a year behind closed source. But that also means that Mythos-class models as open-source variants are genuinely realistic toward the end of the year.
A very interesting graph.